ECONOMIC IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON SMALLHOLDER AGRICULTURE IN COASTAL KENYA
A RICARDIAN APPROACH
Abstract
ABSTRACT
The effect of climate change on agriculture in Kenya is increasingly gaining attention among researchers and policy makers. However, there is scant econometric literature that looks into the relationship between agricultural productivity and climate change in the country. This study evaluates the effect of climate change on both livestock and crop production in the coastal region of Kenya. The specific objectives of this study are: to assess the impact of climate change on crop farming income, to evaluate the impact of climate change on livestock farming income and, to estimate the impact of climate change on combined income from both crop and livestock production. A Ricardian model was used in this study to estimate how mixed agriculture has been affected by the change in climate across the coastal region of Kenya. Results from the study show that climate change significantly (p<0.05) affects net revenues from crops, livestock and a combination of both livestock and crops. The other socioeconomic variable that were found to also significantly (p<0.05) affect net revenue from crops, livestock and a combination of crops and livestock.
Downloads
References
Challinor, A., Wheeler, T., Garforth, C., Craufurd, P. & Kassam, A. (2007). Assessing the Vulnerability of Food Crop Systems in Africa to Climate Change. Climate Change, 83:381-399.
Deressa, T. (2006) Measuring the economic impact of climate change on Ethiopian agriculture: Ricardian approach. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa (CEEPA) Discussion Paper No. 25. University of Pretoria, South Africa.
Deressa, T., Hassan, R. & Poonyth, D. (2005). Measuring the economic impact of climate change on South Africa’s sugarcane growing regions. Agrekon, 44(4):524–42.
Eid, H., El-Marsafawy, S. & Ouda, S. (2006). Assessing the Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in Egypt: A Ricardian Approach. CEEPA Discussion Paper No. 16. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria.
Gbetibouo, G. & Hassan, R. (2005). Economic impact of climate change on major South African field crops: A Ricardian approach. Global and Planetary Change, 47:143-52.
Gebreegziabher, Z., Mekonnen, A., Deribe, R., Abera, S. & Kassahun, M. M. (2013). Crop-Livestock Inter-linkages and Climate Change Implications for Ethiopia’s Agriculture.
Gebreegziabher, Z., Mekonnen, A., Deribe, R., Abera, S. and Kassahun, M.M. (2013). Crop-Livestock Inter-linkages and Climate Change Implications for Ethiopia’s Agriculture: A Ricardian Approach. Environment for Development. Discussion Paper Series. EfD DP 13-14.
Government of Kenya (2013). Kenya National Climate change Action Plan (2013-2017). Available at Climate Change Action Plan: http://cdkn.org/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/Kenya-National-Climate-Change-Action-Plan.pdf
IPCC (2007). Climate Change 2007: Synthesis Report. IPCC Plenary XXVII, Valencia, Spain, November 12-17.
Jain, S. (2006). An Empirical Economic Assessment of Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in Zambia. CEEPA Discussion Paper No. 27, Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria.
Kabubo-Mariara, J. & Karanja, F. (2006). The Economic Impact of Climate Change on Kenyan Crop Agriculture: A Ricardian Approach. CEEPA Discussion Paper No. 12. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria.
Kurukulasuriya, P., Mendelsohn, R., Hassan, R., Benhin, J., Diop, M. & Eid H. M. (2006). Will African agriculture survive climate change? World Bank Econ. Rev. 20(3):367-388.
Mano, R. & C.Nhemachena. (2006). Assessment of the Economic Impacts of Climate Change on Agriculture in Zimbabwe: A Ricardian Approach. CEEPA Discussion Paper No. 11. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria.
Mendelsohn, R. & Dinar, A. (2003). Climate, Water, and Agriculture. Land Economics. 79:328-341.
Mendelsohn, R., Nordbaus, W. D. & Shaw, D. (1994). The impact of global warming on agriculture: A Ricardian approach. American Economic Review 84(4):753-771.
Molua, E. & Lambi, C. (2006). The Economic Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in Cameroon. CEEPA Discussion Paper No. 17. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria.
Ouedraogo, M., Somé, L. & Dembele, Y. (2006). Economic Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Agriculture in Burkina Faso: A Ricardian Approach. CEEPA Discussion Paper No. 24. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria. January 2010.
Sene, I.M., Diop, M. & Dieng, A. (2006). Impacts of Climate Change on the Revenues and Adaptation of Farmers in Senegal. CEEPA Discussion Paper No. 20. Centre for Environmental Economics and Policy in Africa, University of Pretoria.
Seo S. N. & Mendelsohn, R. (2008b) A Ricardian analysis of the impact of climate change on South American farms. Chil J Agric Res 68(1):69–79.
Seo, N. & Mendelsohn, R. (2008a) Climate change impacts and adaptations on animal husbandry in Africa. Afr J Agric Resour Econ 2:65-82.
Seo, S.N., Mendelsohn, R., Dinar, A., Hassan, R. & Kurukulasuriya, P. (2009). A Ricardian Analysis of the Distribution of Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture across Agro-Ecological Zones in Africa. Environmental and Resource Economics 43:313-332.
Copyright (c) 2018 IJRDO - Journal of Agriculture and Research (ISSN: 2455-7668)
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
Author(s) and co-author(s) jointly and severally represent and warrant that the Article is original with the author(s) and does not infringe any copyright or violate any other right of any third parties, and that the Article has not been published elsewhere. Author(s) agree to the terms that the IJRDO Journal will have the full right to remove the published article on any misconduct found in the published article.